Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.927304 2.219320 2.540519 2.920036 3.356270 3.842092 4.424374
2025-05-25 1.452102 1.816555 2.251274 2.808078 3.502655 4.341082 5.431078
2025-06-01 1.176362 1.580937 2.098534 2.809430 3.761258 4.993109 6.711323
2025-06-08 0.960215 1.375101 1.939891 2.765156 3.941674 5.561312 7.965946
2025-06-15 0.858452 1.301557 1.939339 2.924573 4.410585 6.572932 9.968561
2025-06-22 0.749035 1.196035 1.872802 2.972423 4.718035 7.389254 11.803251
2025-06-29 0.644542 1.079237 1.768602 2.941805 4.893686 8.021594 13.437540
2025-07-06 0.540284 0.945295 1.615724 2.806675 4.875987 8.336679 14.593733
2025-07-13 0.498980 0.909560 1.616942 2.924834 5.291274 9.409658 17.162682
2025-07-20 0.466084 0.882950 1.628646 3.060192 5.750823 10.611860 20.116860
2025-07-27 0.432386 0.849459 1.622472 3.160123 6.155977 11.763115 23.127343
2025-08-03 0.395378 0.804057 1.587455 3.199237 6.448585 12.737665 25.925709
2025-08-10 0.346892 0.731065 1.493539 3.117883 6.510040 13.306890 28.070060
2025-08-17 0.297873 0.649833 1.372296 2.964258 6.404311 13.532354 29.551979
2025-08-24 0.268271 0.605157 1.319585 2.946140 6.579084 14.355274 32.418142
2025-08-31 0.239150 0.557181 1.253187 2.888642 6.660014 14.989746 34.965651
2025-09-07 0.230180 0.553304 1.282307 3.048428 7.248889 16.812084 40.464878
2025-09-14 0.213742 0.529553 1.263335 3.094343 7.581193 18.100524 44.906680
2025-09-21 0.193918 0.494707 1.213786 3.060202 7.717652 18.951624 48.419044
2025-09-28 0.170093 0.446420 1.125525 2.918382 7.569450 19.101406 50.211257
2025-10-05 0.163365 0.440763 1.141065 3.040492 8.104388 21.000895 56.754754
2025-10-12 0.157894 0.437602 1.162435 3.180749 8.706447 23.150764 64.273964
2025-10-19 0.150939 0.429415 1.169662 3.284346 9.225630 25.155704 71.698174